imutual.co.uk

Here's another interesting result from yesterday, even if only a council seat.


https://twitter.com/BritainElects/statu ... 36419?s=20

The likely explanation being former UKIP voters moving to CON, while a greater number of former CON voters switched to LDEM or GRN.

The politicians all come out with all the reasons, but in truth none of them are right. Mid term byelections are a law unto themselves. In truth with another election not due till May 2024 it is impossible to predict what the parties/elected people will do to F*** things up beforehand

Sarah wrote: ↑

Fri Jul 02 2021 6:06pm

Here's another interesting result from yesterday, even if only a council seat.


https://twitter.com/BritainElects/statu ... 36419?s=20

The likely explanation being former UKIP voters moving to CON, while a greater number of former CON voters switched to LDEM or GRN.

I think the Libdems tend to get seats at bye elections and councils where it's seen as a local issue. But when it's a national matter - a general election - the same constituents won't re-elect the same Libdem candidate to the same seat.

This is pitiful - the turnout just 19.21%! Was everyone else stuck queueing for petrol?

Sarah wrote: ↑

Fri Sep 24 2021 2:09pm

This is pitiful - the turnout just 19.21%! Was everyone else stuck queueing for petrol?

Democracy at work. Everyone gets what noone wants.

Next: Old Bexley and Sidcup

Sarah wrote: ↑

Fri Oct 08 2021 1:27pm

Next: Old Bexley and Sidcup

Was this the seat Edward Heath used to have? Will be interesting, but unlikely to return anything other than a Conservative surely.

Kelantan wrote: ↑

Fri Oct 08 2021 1:35pm

Was this the seat Edward Heath used to have? Will be interesting, but unlikely to return anything other than a Conservative surely.

Yes, it apparently is:

Sir Edward Heath (prime minister of the United Kingdom 1970–1974) held this area (also referring to its main predecessor seat, Sidcup) from 1950 until 2001 when he retired at the age of 84, at the time the longest-serving MP in the Commons.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Old_Bexle ... stituency)

Sarah wrote: ↑

Fri Oct 08 2021 1:45pm

Kelantan wrote: ↑

Fri Oct 08 2021 1:35pm

Was this the seat Edward Heath used to have? Will be interesting, but unlikely to return anything other than a Conservative surely.

Yes, it apparently is:

Sir Edward Heath (prime minister of the United Kingdom 1970–1974) held this area (also referring to its main predecessor seat, Sidcup) from 1950 until 2001 when he retired at the age of 84, at the time the longest-serving MP in the Commons.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Old_Bexle ... stituency)

Unsurprising result, Tory hold

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-59505204 vastly reduced majority on an extremely low turnout. The lowest since 2018

Labour came second with a 10% swing
Perhaps more concerning Reform came 3rd
with Green party and Liberal Democrats losing their deposits

Richard Frost wrote: ↑

Fri Dec 03 2021 10:03am

Sarah wrote: ↑

Fri Oct 08 2021 1:45pm

Kelantan wrote: ↑

Fri Oct 08 2021 1:35pm

Was this the seat Edward Heath used to have? Will be interesting, but unlikely to return anything other than a Conservative surely.

Yes, it apparently is:

Sir Edward Heath (prime minister of the United Kingdom 1970–1974) held this area (also referring to its main predecessor seat, Sidcup) from 1950 until 2001 when he retired at the age of 84, at the time the longest-serving MP in the Commons.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Old_Bexle ... stituency)

Unsurprising result, Tory hold

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-59505204 vastly reduced majority on an extremely low turnout. The lowest since 2018

Labour came second with a 10% swing
Perhaps more concerning Reform came 3rd
with Green party and Liberal Democrats losing their deposits

Lib Dems and possibly Greens are short of money so choosing which seats to target in the bye elections. This was always going to be how much the Tory vote weighed, no need to actually count the votes election.

But a low turnout (Tory voters will turn out when others cannot be bothered as it is only a by election etc) and still a 10% swing to Labour. Reform aka Brexit Party was not that much of a surprise But still only 6.6% at a time when you can vote for them and then vote Tory at the General Election when every MP could be important.