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Posted at 14:45
How can you work out the real number of deaths?
Robert Cuffe
BBC head of statistics
You’re probably seeing a range of different figures for the number of people who have died since the start of the coronavirus outbreak.
Every day, the government announces the number of people whose death has been reported in the last 24 hours in the UK after testing positive for coronavirus. This largely covers deaths in hospitals, so doesn’t give the full picture of what is going on elsewhere.
If you look at all death registrations, you can capture this picture.
These figures are released weekly and include people who have died who are suspected to have had the virus, not just those who have tested positive. They also compare the overall number of people who have died with the average number of deaths at that time of year.
Statisticians are confident that the difference will tell us about all the deaths caused by the epidemic – not just those caused directly by the virus, but those due to people with other conditions not seeking or getting the care they need.
While the daily figures are for the whole of the UK, the weekly ones are released separately by the nations – Scotland comes out first, followed by Northern Ireland and then England and Wales – their figures come out 10 days after the period they cover.
Even those weekly figures do not tell us how many years of life have been lost – some people who die during the epidemic would have lived for many years, and some might have died within the next few months.
To understand that picture, we’ll have to wait to see what happens to all deaths in 2020, but that analysis is some time away.
Meanwhile, just keep drinking bleach.Boro Boy wrote: ↑Tue Apr 28 2020 8:18pmScience will win in the end (I hope): http://germagic.com/en/question.php
There's a world of difference between Iceland and anywhere people actually want to go. The greatest impact of the government measures has probably been the inability of planeloads of Icelanders to fly to Scotland and get plastered each weekend. The flipside might be the suicide rates in coming months......Boro Boy wrote: ↑Tue Apr 28 2020 7:04pmForget Germany, forget Sweden, forget New Zealand it's Iceland (the country not the shop) that seems to have got its act together...!
See: https://www.france24.com/en/europe/2020 ... 2463152530
No lockdown in Iceland (other than that imposed by the individual) but a very high percentage of testing and tracing... but you are right suicide would get rid of the Virus as well...! Never saw that one coming!macliam wrote: ↑Tue Apr 28 2020 8:50pmThere's a world of difference between Iceland and anywhere people actually want to go. The greatest impact of the government measures has probably been the inability of planeloads of Icelanders to fly to Scotland and get plastered each weekend. The flipside might be the suicide rates in coming months......Boro Boy wrote: ↑Tue Apr 28 2020 7:04pmForget Germany, forget Sweden, forget New Zealand it's Iceland (the country not the shop) that seems to have got its act together...!
See: https://www.france24.com/en/europe/2020 ... 2463152530
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